
New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction Tuesday 6/3/2025
The Los Angeles Dodgers host the New York Mets at Dodger Stadium in the continuation of their series. The Mets took the previous game 4-3 in extra innings and currently lead the season series 3-1. The Mets are hot, riding a 4-game winning streak, while the Dodgers look to bounce back from consecutive losses.
Game Details:
- Matchup: New York Mets (38-22) vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (36-24)
- Date: Tuesday, June 3, 2025
- Time: 10:10 PM ET
- Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
- The Line: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+135) / New York Mets +1.5 (-160); Over/Under: 9.5 (Over +110 / Under -130); NYM ML +125 / LAD ML -150
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets (38-22) are playing excellent baseball, sitting atop the NL East and boasting an 8-2 record in their last 10 games. Their pitching has been a cornerstone, with a team ERA of 2.83. Tylor Megill (4-4, 3.52 ERA) gets the start. In 2025, Megill has been solid over 53.2 innings, striking out 72 batters, though his 27 walks are notable. His FIP of 3.10 suggests his ERA is well-supported. The Mets have struggled slightly more on the road (14-15) but have already proven they can win in Los Angeles. Offensively, they average 4.40 runs per game.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers (36-24) lead the NL West but have been inconsistent lately, going 5-5 in their last 10 and dropping their last two contests. They remain formidable at home with a 21-10 record. The legendary Clayton Kershaw (0-0, 4.91 ERA) is slated to pitch. Kershaw’s 2025 season has been limited to just 11.0 innings over 3 starts. In that small sample, he has an uncharacteristic 6 strikeouts to 6 walks and a 1.55 WHIP. His most recent outing against the Mets was a brief 2.0-inning, 26-pitch appearance. The Dodgers’ offense is potent, averaging 5.77 runs per game, but their team ERA of 4.13 is significantly higher than the Mets’.
Statistical Breakdown & Prediction: Value on the Mets
The Mets moneyline at +125 presents an intriguing value opportunity based on current form, the pitching matchup in 2025, and recent head-to-head results.
- Starting Pitcher (2025 Performance): Tylor Megill (3.52 ERA, 3.10 FIP, 12.1 K/9) has arguably been more reliable in 2025 than Clayton Kershaw. Kershaw’s 4.91 ERA and 4.80 FIP over a very small sample of 11.0 innings, coupled with a low strikeout rate (4.9 K/9) and high walk rate (4.9 BB/9) for his standards, raises concerns. While Kershaw’s pedigree is undeniable, his current form and limited workload make him a questionable -150 favorite.
- Mets’ Current Form & Head-to-Head: The Mets are on a 4-game winning streak and are 8-2 in their last 10 games. Crucially, they’ve defeated the Dodgers in 3 of their 4 meetings this season, including the series opener at Dodger Stadium. This demonstrates a clear ability to compete with and beat this Dodgers team.
- Dodgers’ Recent Stumble: The Dodgers are 5-5 in their last 10 and have lost their last two games, indicating a slight cool-down period.
- Team Pitching Edge to Mets: New York’s team ERA of 2.83 is elite and significantly better than the Dodgers’ 4.13. This strong pitching staff can keep the potent Dodgers offense in check.
- Comparable Overall Strength: While the Dodgers have a slight edge in net run differential (+1.32 vs. NYM’s +1.13), the teams’ overall records (NYM 38-22, LAD 36-24) are very similar. This doesn’t suggest a mismatch that warrants the Dodgers being -150 favorites given the pitching uncertainties for LA and the Mets’ current momentum.
Considering Megill’s 2025 effectiveness against Kershaw’s limited and somewhat shaky return, the Mets’ strong recent play, their success in the season series against the Dodgers, and the overall team pitching advantage, the +125 odds on the Mets offer good value.
Our Pick: New York Mets ML (+125)
Looking for More MLB Picks?
Get expert analysis, betting predictions, and winning insights for all MLB games. Our comprehensive coverage includes player stats, team trends, and value bets.
View All MLB Picks →