A marquee interleague series kicks off on Friday, May 30, 2025, as the New York Yankees visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers. This matchup features two of baseball’s premier teams and a compelling pitching duel, with the Yankees’ ace Max Fried squaring off against the Dodgers’ Tony Gonsolin. Both teams are leading their respective divisions, setting the stage for a high-stakes contest.

Game Details:

• Matchup: New York Yankees (35-20) at Los Angeles Dodgers (34-22)
• Date: Friday, May 30, 2025
• Time: 10:10 PM ET
• Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California
• Pitching Matchup: Max Fried (NYY: 7-0, 1.29 ERA) vs. Tony Gonsolin (LAD: 2-1, 4.68 ERA)
• The Line (via ESPN BET): NYY ML -110 / LAD ML -110; Total O/U 8.5 (Under -120); NYY RL -1.5 (+160) / LAD RL +1.5 (-190)

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees enter this series in scorching form, riding a five-game winning streak and boasting a 9-1 record in their last ten games. Their overall record stands at 35-20, with a solid 17-11 performance on the road. The Yankees’ offense has been potent, averaging .259 as a team with 88 home runs, spearheaded by Aaron Judge (18 HR, .391 AVG, 47 RBI).

The main story for the Yankees in this game is their starting pitcher, Max Fried. The left-hander has been nothing short of spectacular in 2025, compiling a 7-0 record with a minuscule 1.29 ERA and 0.93 WHIP over 70.0 innings. His recent form is even more impressive, with a 0.98 ERA in his last seven starts. The Yankees have a strong 27-15 record against right-handed pitching this season, which they’ll face in Gonsolin.

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers, despite a recent 5-5 stretch in their last ten games and coming off a loss, remain a formidable opponent, especially at home where they are 19-8. Their overall record is 34-22. The Dodgers’ offense is powerful, hitting .263 as a team with 87 home runs, featuring stars like Shohei Ohtani (20 HR) and Freddie Freeman (.359 AVG).

However, the Dodgers will send Tony Gonsolin to the mound, who has had an inconsistent 2025 season. Gonsolin holds a 2-1 record but with a 4.68 ERA and 1.44 WHIP across 25.0 innings. His last seven starts (dating back into 2023 for some) show a 6.29 ERA, indicating ongoing struggles. A key statistic for this matchup is the Dodgers’ team record against left-handed pitching this season, which stands at 7-10, a notable drop-off from their overall performance.

Prediction: The Value Pick

This game presents a significant pitching mismatch that the current odds don’t fully reflect, especially on the run line. While the moneyline for both teams is set at -110, indicating a pick’em, the underlying factors heavily favor the Yankees, particularly for a multi-run victory.

The value pick is the New York Yankees -1.5 (+160).

Here’s the rationale:

1. Dominant Starting Pitching for Yankees: Max Fried is arguably the hottest pitcher in baseball. His 1.29 ERA and 0.93 WHIP are elite, and he consistently pitches deep into games while limiting damage. In his last seven starts, he boasts a 0.98 ERA. Crucially, when Fried starts and the Yankees win, they often win comfortably. In at least five of his recent starts that resulted in Yankee victories, the team covered the -1.5 run line (e.g., W 13-1, W 8-2, W 7-0, W 6-1, W 2-0).
2. Struggling Starting Pitching for Dodgers: Tony Gonsolin’s 4.68 ERA and 1.44 WHIP present a clear target for the potent Yankees offense. Gonsolin has allowed significant earned runs in recent outings (e.g., 4 ER in 5.0 IP and 4 ER in 4.0 IP in two of his last five 2025 starts as per game log descriptions). This suggests the Yankees will have ample opportunities to score.
3. Yankees’ Hot Streak and Offensive Prowess: The Yankees are on a 5-game winning streak and are 9-1 in their last 10. Their offense, averaging 5.55 runs per game, is more than capable of putting up runs against a struggling Gonsolin.
4. Dodgers’ Weakness vs. LHP: The Dodgers have a losing record (7-10) against left-handed pitching this season. Facing an elite lefty like Max Fried exacerbates this issue. While their lineup has stars who can hit anyone, the overall team performance dips against southpaws.
5. Run Line Value: The +160 odds for the Yankees to win by two or more runs offer significant value. Given the ~3.4 run ERA differential between Fried and Gonsolin, if both pitch to their current season form, a multi-run Yankees victory is highly plausible. If Fried limits the Dodgers to 1-2 runs (his ERA is 1.29) and the Yankees score 3-5 runs against Gonsolin (whose ERA is 4.68), the -1.5 spread is covered. ESPN Analytics also favors the Yankees with a 55.8% win probability, and a substantial portion of those wins should come by multiple runs given this pitching matchup.

While the Dodgers are strong at home, the combination of Fried’s dominance, Gonsolin’s vulnerability, the Yankees’ current form, and the Dodgers’ specific struggles against left-handed pitching creates a compelling case for the Yankees to not just win, but to win by a comfortable margin.

Our Pick: New York Yankees -1.5 (+160)