Riding the energy of their home crowd, the Indiana Pacers delivered a statement 116-107 victory in Game 3 to take a surprising 2-1 series lead. The Oklahoma City Thunder, the top seed in the West, now find themselves in a virtual must-win situation on the road. Game 4 in Indianapolis is a true inflection point that could either see the series tied up or the Pacers take a commanding 3-1 lead.

Game Details:

• Matchup: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers
• Series: NBA Finals - Game 4 (Indiana leads 2-1)
• Date: Friday, June 13, 2025
• Time: 8:30 PM ET
• Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
• The Line: Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5 (-115); Over/Under: 225.5; IND ML +195 / OKC ML -230

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

For one of the few times all season, the Thunder looked rattled in Game 3. A rash of 19 turnovers fueled the Pacers’ offense and ultimately sealed their fate. Despite the loss, OKC is still the team that won 68 games and boasted the league’s best net rating. Their backs are against the wall, a position that often brings out the best in championship-caliber teams. After their Game 1 loss, they responded with a dominant 16-point victory. Expect a similar level of focus and intensity in Game 4, led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who will need to be spectacular and, more importantly, secure with the basketball.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview

The Pacers are playing with tremendous confidence. Tyrese Haliburton was masterful in Game 3 with 22 points and 11 assists, and the bench provided a massive lift, with Bennedict Mathurin erupting for 27 points. Indiana has successfully turned the series into their style of game: fast-paced, opportunistic, and fueled by energy. At home, where they are now 30-11 on the season, they have been a juggernaut. If they can continue to force turnovers and get contributions from their supporting cast, they have a legitimate chance to push the Thunder to the brink of elimination.

Statistical Breakdown and Prediction

This game comes down to one question: How do the Thunder respond to adversity? All season long, they have been the picture of poise and execution. Game 3 was an anomaly, particularly their carelessness with the ball (17.1 TOV%).

• The Bounce Back Factor: Great teams don’t lose two in a row, especially in the Finals. The Thunder have the #1 defensive rating in the NBA and a superstar in SGA. They have the tools to correct the mistakes from Game 3. A more disciplined defensive effort and a focus on valuing possessions should be expected.
• Turnover Margin: OKC’s 19 turnovers in Game 3 were a killer. Their season average is a league-best 11.7. A regression to the mean here, meaning a cleaner game from the Thunder, drastically changes the complexion of the matchup.
• Desperation: The Thunder cannot afford to go down 3-1. We expect their best, most focused effort of the season. They proved they could blow this team out in Game 2, and while the venue has changed, the talent gap has not.

The Pacers are a great story and have played brilliantly, but the Thunder are the superior team facing a must-win scenario. They have the defensive chops and the superstar power to take control and even this series on the road.

Our Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5 (-115)