With a dominant performance in Game 5, the Oklahoma City Thunder have pushed the Indiana Pacers to the brink of elimination. Jalen Williams and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander combined for 71 points to take a 3-2 series lead, moving one victory away from hoisting the Larry O’Brien Trophy. Now, the series shifts back to Indianapolis, where the Pacers will fight to keep their championship dreams alive in a do-or-die Game 6.

Game Details:

• Matchup: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Indiana Pacers
• Series: NBA Finals - Game 6 (OKC leads 3-2)
• Date: Thursday, June 19, 2025
• Time: 8:30 PM ET
• Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
• The Line: Oklahoma City Thunder -4.5 (-115); Over/Under: 224.5; IND ML +160 / OKC ML -190

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Thunder are in the driver’s seat. After retaking home-court advantage in Game 4, they protected their home floor in Game 5 with authority. Their young stars are playing with incredible poise, and their defense has consistently generated the stops needed to fuel their offense. OKC has already proven they can win in the hostile environment of Gainbridge Fieldhouse in this series. With the championship in their sights, expect a focused and aggressive effort from the Thunder as they look to avoid a nerve-wracking Game 7.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview

This is it for the Pacers. Facing elimination on their home court, they must deliver their best performance of the season. The home crowd will provide a massive energy boost, but Indiana has to solve the puzzle that is OKC’s defense and two-way attack. A significant concern is the health of Tyrese Haliburton, who was largely ineffective in Game 5 due to a lingering leg issue. For the Pacers to force a Game 7, they’ll need a heroic effort from Pascal Siakam and for their role players to feed off the home energy and play a near-perfect game.

Statistical Breakdown and Prediction

While playing at home is a significant advantage, one statistic from this series is too glaring to ignore and points directly to the biggest challenge facing the Pacers.

• The Turnover Battle: Through five games, the Indiana Pacers are averaging a staggering 18.6 turnovers per contest, compared to just 13.4 for the Thunder. This has been the Pacers’ Achilles’ heel all series.
• Fueling the Fire: Those turnovers are lethal against a team like OKC, which excels in transition. The Thunder’s ability to convert mistakes into easy points has been a deciding factor, and in a high-pressure elimination game, protecting the basketball becomes even more critical—and more difficult.
• The Health Factor: Tyrese Haliburton’s limited mobility not only hurts Indiana’s half-court offense but also contributes to this turnover problem. A less-than-100% primary ball-handler against OKC’s swarming perimeter defense is a recipe for disaster.

The Pacers are a tough team with a fantastic home crowd, but the Thunder have all the momentum and a clear statistical advantage in the turnover department. They’ve already won here once, and with a championship on the line, their focus will be razor-sharp.

Our Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder -4.5 (-115)