The Seattle Storm travel to Los Angeles to take on a struggling Sparks team in a Western Conference matchup. The Storm (6-5) aim to build momentum, while the Sparks (4-8) are desperate to find a solution to their woes, particularly on their home court.

Game Details:

• Matchup: Seattle Storm (6-5) at Los Angeles Sparks (4-8)
• Date: Tuesday, June 17, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM PT
• Venue: crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
• The Line (via ESPN BET): Seattle Storm -3.5 (-115) / Los Angeles Sparks +3.5 (-105); Over/Under: 163.5; SEA ML -165 / LAS ML +140

Seattle Storm Betting Preview

The Seattle Storm enter this contest with a 6-5 record, positioning them as a solid team in the Western Conference. They are a well-rounded squad, with a Net Rating of +2.1 (5th in the WNBA). Their offense, led by veteran guard Skylar Diggins-Smith (18.1 PPG, 6.1 APG), averages 80.6 PPG. However, their strength lies in their defense, which allows just 79.0 PPG (6th best). The frontcourt duo of Nneka Ogwumike (15.6 PPG, 8.5 RPG) and Ezi Magbegor (1.9 BPG) creates a formidable defensive presence. The Storm have been solid recently, going 6-4 in their last ten games.

Los Angeles Sparks Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Sparks have had a difficult start to the season, sitting at 4-8 overall and just 3-7 in their last ten games. Despite having the 5th-ranked offense (83.4 PPG) powered by high-scoring guard Kelsey Plum (20.9 PPG), their defense has been a major liability. The Sparks allow a staggering 86.0 PPG, which ranks 10th in the league, contributing to a -3.3 Net Rating (10th). Their struggles are compounded by injuries, with key players Cameron Brink and Julie Allemand out, and Odyssey Sims listed as a game-time decision.

Statistical Breakdown & Prediction: Fade the Sparks at Home

The key to this matchup lies not just in the overall records, but in a specific and glaring trend for the home team. The Sparks have been one of the worst home teams in the league, making the Storm a strong pick to cover the spread.

1. Sparks’ Home Court Disadvantage: The most critical statistic for this game is the Los Angeles Sparks’ 1-5 record at home. Teams typically find an edge in their own arena, but the Sparks have been unable to capitalize. This isn’t just bad luck; their point differential in home games is significantly negative, indicating a fundamental problem with their performance at the crypto.com Arena.
2. Defensive Mismatch: Seattle’s identity is built on a solid defense that ranks 6th in points allowed (79.0). Los Angeles, on the other hand, possesses the 10th-ranked defense, surrendering 86.0 PPG. This 7-point gap in defensive performance gives the Storm a clear advantage. Seattle’s disciplined approach should frustrate a Sparks team that relies on outscoring opponents.
3. Overall Team Quality (Net Rating): Net Rating provides a clear picture of a team’s true performance. The Storm boast a positive +2.1 rating (5th), meaning they outscore opponents over the course of a game. The Sparks have a -3.3 Net Rating (10th), showing they are consistently outplayed. A spread of just 3.5 points is a small margin to cover for a team that is statistically more than five points better per 100 possessions.
4. Injury Woes for L.A.: The Sparks are not at full strength. The absence of forward Cameron Brink and guard Julie Allemand hurts their depth and rotation. With Odyssey Sims also questionable, their backcourt could be further thinned, putting even more pressure on Kelsey Plum to generate offense against a tough Seattle defense.

Given the Sparks’ profound struggles on their home court, their defensive liabilities, and the overall superior quality of the Storm, laying just 3.5 points feels like excellent value. Seattle is the better, more balanced, and healthier team.

Our Pick: Seattle Storm -3.5 (-115)